As ever, I will be keeping a close and beady eye on the market movers and shakers and provide my sage summarised comments. Last year was a doozy with a widely available 6/1 shot offering relatively incredible value on the winner. That's because 1. most people never thought a glam rock act could win, and 2. most recent winners have been known way before the show itself. So whilst under normal circumstances its getting increasingly difficult to spot any value pre-rehearsals, this year is one of those which has got the damp fan in a tizzy. There's a fair few opinions, but really everything points to Ukraine scooping up much of the 50% televote element and cruising to victory. As such it's really not an attractive year from a flutter perspective and all in all, it doesn't really matter. Mind you this is before we see them on stage and I'm starting to think we may see an old timer surprise... 2022: My tips UK (Win
10/1)...why not... Portugal (Each Way 80/1), Netherlands
(Each Way 50/1) |
Ukraine | 4/6 |
When all said and done, the music doesn't matter, right? |
Sweden | 8/1 |
Best song of the few realistic winners, but so clinical I half expect someone to draw the incision on her midriff |
UK | 7/1 |
Is it over-confidence from Brit bookies for this tik tok ballard. Maybe top10, maybe more... b'jesus. |
Italy | 7/1 |
Sophisticated (sic) Eurosong hosts with a damp falsetto warble with added gay niche pec wobble |
Poland | 33/1 |
Short odds really reflects the levels of goodwill for the nation rather than this mid-range evocative warble |
Spain | 20/1 |
Top of the shop window shop groin thrusting diva, but not a stellar year for senoritas |
Greece | 33/1 |
Nordic melancholia from the passionate Greeks. It really is a weird year alright. Should go well. |
Netherlands | 66/1 |
Thankfully no rap, instead a melifluous & capable Dutch waif who may impress. An unlikely chance of ew. |
Norway | 50/1 |
Chuckle Brothers entrant. Keith & Jim and their one trick pony. Listen once and never again |
Australia | 80/1 |
Actually very much the same as other plaintive guffs from down under. Draw the face curtains on this one. |
Portugal | 80/1 |
Quality of t' year in mid table. By common consent, Juries yes, televoters no. I'll vote for it though. Wee chance |
Serbia | 80/1 |
This could go either way. As difficult to predict as it is to understand. Insider moles suggest a dark horse. |
France | 80/1 |
Generic ethnic dance mk2 (one more to follow below). About as Breton as Nice, only this isn't nice. |
Finland | 100/1 |
The faded act that viewers will go "I remember them". And then promptly forget the song. May not qualify. |
San Marino | 100/1 |
Utterly incredible..in that this isn't in the bottom three of the list.A ghastly load of bull. |
Estonia | 100/1 |
Tombstone Tallinn which would normally make my teeth itch but actually works fairly well in the 2022 morass. |
Belgium | 150/1 |
The token quasi African entry for which any noticeable success would be too progressive . |
Switzerland | 150/1 |
Very surprised to see this so high up in the betting. Utterly forgettable ballard from star in your eyes kd lang |
Cyprus | 150/1 |
More goose greased GI's with a garden variety getup. Likely finalist. |
Czech Rep | 150/1 |
This is like PG Tips. Not my preferred brand, but a cup of tea. & as it's a cup of tea I will happily drink it. |
Armenia | 150/1 |
Don't bet your house on this one's chances. Mark it on a piece of paper, the definition of mid table obscurity. |
Malta | 200/1 |
Visually 20/1, Aurally 380/1. Average 200/1. |
Georgia | 300/1 |
The performance may help it t'final but it's way out there. I think it's great, not many others will agree.. |
Iceland | 250/1 |
A very simple melody strum & not all that bad, but literally no chance for them at the outpost of Europe. |
Germany | 250/1 |
Safe & dull, even with a crap rap. |
Croatia | 250/1 |
Not so pretty in pink & guilty as charged for being opinionated on the annual woeful Croat entry. |
Moldova | 250/1 |
The epitome of ethnic folk dance claptrap. Everything including the kitchen sink & lots of dirty dishes |
Azerbaijan | 300/1 |
Snore |
Albania | 250/1 |
Better of the phalanx of scary dominatrixes from the South/East. Shame she can't keep her hands off her groin |
Slovenia | 300/1 |
Save me from this horror. Even the dis"k"o ball has metal fatigue. |
Romania | 250/1 |
Earworm chorus, horrible to watch. Lascivious in a dogging type of way. |
Latvia | 200/1 |
Truly bereft of any musical merit. It does have a future within advanced interrogation techniques. May qualify... |
Bulgaria | 300/1 |
A rocky Lorrain. Something that Eurosong S&M fans have been waiting for. Like wearing a celice |
North Macedonia | 300/1 |
She may be shot upon her return for throwing a flag at the opening ceremony, so watch her sing for her life. |
Lithuania | 300/1 |
70's gets a musty airing with maxi dresses fluttering at the (bell) bottom of the leaderboard. Toadly different. |
Israel | 250/1 |
Get your leak lizard out there's going to be a flood. |
Montenegro | 300/1 |
Forgotten what's its even like. Vaguely recall a vertical lip line |
Ireland | 300/1 |
Aw, bless her. I hope the bookies are wrong on this one. Poptastic |
Denmark | 300/1 |
Oh absolutely should be down here, I'd just about forgotten it. Poodle perm frightful feminist ferment. |
Austria | 400/1 |
Either this or the Czechs will be in the final. Or maybe both. Surprising rank outsider |
My previous badly formulated conclusions (apart from 2010) on long odds and obvious winners are as follows; 2021: My tips Switzerland (Win 5/1 -
3rd) Moldova (Each Way 100/1 - 13th) |